According to Jean-François Toussaint, professor of physiology at the University of Paris, the epidemic peak would have occurred on Saturday in Italy.
Both the curve of acceleration of the daily number of new deaths and the curve of acceleration of the daily number of deaths show a very clear inflection.
Given the respective evolution of the Italian and French curves, " we have to hold out another week to pass the top of the wave in our turn, " says Professor Toussaint in an email to the editorial staff of UP' Magazine.
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The worst would therefore have happened in Italy, two weeks after the start of the containment measures. This trend is particularly true in the epicentre of the epidemic, in Lombardy, where the number of new deaths has fallen sharply since Saturday, almost halving in two days.