Global Energy Scenarios to 2050

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While the finalization of the draft law on energy transition is again postponed until July 2014, Minister Ségolène Royal has recalled the main objectives of the commitment to the "energy mix": 50 % of share for nuclear power "by 2025."40 % for RE at the same time, reduction of 30 % in fossil energy consumption by 2030, reduction of 50 % in overall energy consumption by 2050. "Extraordinary goals." she agreed.

This new energy model must therefore be understood by everyone, individuals, local authorities and major operators. This is particularly the role of the French Energy Council, founded in 1923. It is the French committee of the World Energy Council, which brings together more than 3,000 organizations and represents about 100 countries, two-thirds of which are developing countries. 

The Conseil Français de l'Énergie (CFE) is an association whose objective is to promote the sustainable supply and use of energy for the greater good of all. It brings together French actors (companies, administrations, professional organisations or universities) involved in reflections that prioritise the dimensions of accessibility, availability and acceptability of energy in a global perspective; all energy resources and technologies are represented.
The CFE supports research in energy economics and participates in energy debates, notably through publications, conferences and studies. One of these studies, published in 2013, concerns Setting the future of energy to music".  A report presenting several scenarios designed to help different partners deal with The "energy trilemma": balancing respect for the environment, energy security and energy equity, by presenting different policy options.

Each policy option has its own costs. The cost of one scenario relative to another should not be assessed solely in terms of the financial investments required or the impact on gross domestic product (GDP) growth; the overall environmental benefits and the climate change adaptation costs saved should also be taken into account. This means that one scenario is not intrinsically better than the other.
A broader perspective is needed to assess the overall implications of each of the scenarios.

Scenarios represent alternative visions of the future that allow the implications of different assumptions to be explored and the robustness of potential developments to be determined. While the most common scenarios are normative,
The World Energy Council has taken a different approach: an exploratory approach.
In this context, "normative" means that scenarios are used to guide the world towards a specific target, for example a CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. With exploratory scenarios Jazz and Symphonyon the contrary,
The WEC provides decision-makers with a neutral, evidence-based tool that enables them to measure the potential impacts of their choices on the future.
Rather than telling policy makers and energy industry leaders what they need to do to achieve a specific goal, the World Energy Council scenarios allow them to test key assumptions about what it takes to build tomorrow's energy.
Investors can use this tool to assess which areas will be the most dynamic and game-changing in the future.

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These scenarios could therefore change the way decision-makers make choices by enabling them to understand the real long-term impact of their actions.
This approach can only be successfully implemented through a network such as the World Energy Council, which is impartial and diverse.
More than 60 experts from over 28 countries contributed to the construction of the WEC scenarios over a period of more than three years.

Read the full report 

"With the authorization of the French Council of l'Énergie, Paris, www.wec-france.org " ©2013 World Energy Council e Conseil Français de l'Energie.

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